Monthly Archives: November 2016

9 posts

Florida Returns to Red

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Donald Trump, shown in an earlier campaign event, turned Florida red, winning by 120,000 votes. /Trump campaign photo

Florida turned a shade of red on election night, boosting Donald Trump over the finish line with a 120,000-vote lead and 29 electoral votes, the biggest cache of any battleground state.

The vote lead is larger than President Barack Obama‘s 74,000 re-election win in Florida in 2012, but not as high as Obama’s over 200,000-vote Sunshine State margin in 2008.

Third-party ticket Gary Johnson-Bill Weld grabbed 2 percent of Florida’s vote or 206,000 ballots. That is more than double the 97,000 votes that Ralph Nader generated in 2000 which boosted George W. Bush into the White House in the 2000 elections.

The third-party vote was higher than for Ralph Nader in 2000. 

Narrow Florida Win

It was a narrow win for Trump in Florida – 49 percent vs. 48 percent for Democrat Hillary Clinton – one that lays bare a very divided Florida electorate. It’s white people vs. everyone else, it seems.

It’s not that Latinos did not vote. It’s that whites voted more. Although the white share of the Florida electorate is shrinking, white voters came out to vote in droves. That made all the difference in returning Florida to red.

Florida voter turnout was high across the board, according to the Florida Division of Elections – 74 percent of registered voters cast a ballot,  a good thing.

But turnout in red counties was more decisive – 84 percent in Baker County (Panhandle), 84 percent in Sumter (The Villages), 86 percent in Collier (southwest). In Central Florida the figure was 78 percent in reliably red Seminole County. Even big-blue Volusia County turned red. How’d that happen?  

Compare that with 71 percent turnout in Orange and 72 percent in Osceola – great numbers  in any election year  – but not enough to overcome the Republican/conservative votes elsewhere in Florida.

Watch for more analysis, specifically voter demographic numbers and the mood in Florida, on Orlando Latino. 

˜˜Maria Padilla, Editor

Half of Florida Has Already Voted

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Half of Florida has voted, but mail-in ballots continue to pour in and Election Day is still to come.

Half of Florida has voted, according the the latest figures by the state Division of Elections.

One of every three Florida voters or 30 percent cast an early ballot or nearly 4 million people, while another 20 percent have voted by mail  thus far. Mail-in ballots continue to flow in as, the deadline to receive these votes is 5 p.m. on Election Day.

The Division of Election figures include the two-week early voting period, ended Sunday, November 6.

The breakdown by political party indicates Democrats dominated early voting with 1.6 million votes statewide, while Republicans tallied 1.4 million early votes. 

In vote by mail, the Republicans have so far amassed a little over 1 million votes, while Democrats aren’t far behind with 980,427 votes.

NPA or no party affiliated voters are leaving a big mark and may very well decide the elections. About  800,000 voted early and another 500,000 have voted by mail, for a total of 1.2 million votes.

How the Tri-County Area Voted

Here’s a look at how Central Florida voted early county by county:

Orange

Early vote

Rep.  71,308

Dem. 118,242

NPA   60,251

TOTAL   255,112

Osceola

Early vote

Rep. 15, 566

Dem. 30,479

NPA 16,063

TOTAL 63,256 

Seminole

Early vote 

Rep. 42, 991

Dem. 38,942

NPA 24,760

TOTAL 109,269 

˜˜Maria Padilla, Editor

Early Voting Is Breaking Records

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Voters chat outside the Hoffner Avenue library early voting site in Orange County while others wait in line to cast their ballots. /Maria Padilla

Early voting is breaking records in Florida. And we still have one day to go.

“Seminole County already has more votes cast than were cast in the much-remembered 2000 presidential election.  Amazing,” stated Seminole County Supervisor of Elections Mike Ertel in a voting update.

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Sign outside Hoffner library early voting site. However, voters said the line was moving fast. /Maria Padilla 

As of Saturday morning, nearly 6 million people voted in all of Florida, or roughly 46 percent of registered voters, according to the state Division of Elections. The early vote is expanding and is ahead of mail-in ballots by almost 1 million.

Early Voting Split

Democrats and Republicans are about evenly split among early voters statewide. However,  no party affiliation or NPA – 626,000 votes thus far – is pulling the early vote numbers ahead of mail-in ballots.

As for political parties, Orange and Osceola counties favor Democrat voters in terms of registration and voting.

Meanwhile, in Republican-leaning Seminole, Democrats are drawing closer to the GOP  in numbers. But NPA voters likely will decide the outcome of many Seminole races.

Seminole Turning Purple?

Rollins College professor and political analyst Rick Fogelsong stated earlier this week, “Seminole County is turning purple,” meaning it may turn into a swing-vote county.

In the Orlando area, the early vote is shaping up as follows :

Orange

Early – 202,240, Democrats are about 47 percent, Republicans 29 percent, NPA  23 percent

Mail – 139,166; Democrats are about 45 percent, Republicans 33 percent, NPA 20 percent

TOTAL VOTES CAST – 341,406

Voter participation rate: 48 percent 

Osceola

Early – 50,332; Democrats are about 49 percent, Republicans 26 percent, NPA  24 percent

Mail – 40,108; Democrats are about 46 percent, Republicans 29 percent, NPA 23 percent 

TOTAL VOTES CAST – 90, 440

Voter participation rate: NA

Seminole

Early – 89,120; Republicans are 40 percent, Democrats 36 percent, NPA 22 percent

Mail – 56,140;  Republicans are about 45 percent, Democrats are 34 percent, NPA 45 percent

TOTAL VOTES CAST– 145, 260 

Voter participation rate: 50 percent

Visit Orlando Latino on Monday for the final early-vote tally. Remember, mail-in voting continues through Election Day.

˜˜Maria Padilla, Editor